Mark Murray
blogged Monday on MSNBC's website about President Obama's approval rating falling below 50 percent for the first time in his presidency. Two reader comments from the many in response to Murray:
I'm Independent by choice Redneck by heritage. We are seeing what happens when we as the people try to get things back to doing business the right way. The President was elected to move us forward. As far as I can see he's still at it. In this effort not everyone is going to get exactly what they want when they want it. This is why I don't put much stock in incremental polls. You cannot govern by them. So far I still have faith in the process and I don't particularly attribute some of these "failures" to The President. Life tells me you have to get in there and take what you can get when you can get and move on. It is good to see the Country finally dealing with these issues rather than sitting on it's hands and putting it off till tommorow. Let's get everything out there where eveyone can see it, make a decision and move on. Just like the snow if your moving you ain't stuck just slowed up a little bit.Stick with it folks.
-Independent Redneck Va. (Sent Monday, December 21, 2009 11:49 AM)
Obama's numbers will continue to drop. He is full of empty Rhetoric. I worked for his, convince many people of his wanting to change the way business was done in Wahington, Donated money too him, and voted for him. There is no substance too this man. She is a shell. I will never work for,donate too, nor vote for any democrat that voted for this insurance bill. Thst includes my two state senators.
-[Reader from] Spotsylvania, Va. (Sent Monday, December 21, 2009 11:50 AM)
Both the spelling and grammar of American voting adults just keep getting terrifyingly worse, don't they, even when you figure in careless typing. (Who knows what that "she" thing is about; "s" and "h" are far apart on the keyboard.) But I think the two comments also show how torn many of we voters are, not only among ourselves but sometimes within ourselves, about the makeup of this president.
As I've written before, to me Obama looks more and more like a guy who plays a passionate public advocate on TV. I've always regarded him with some skepticism even as I've felt inspired by his potential. But now I just plain don't believe him any more. Most recently, his caving in on doctors' and hospitals' and insurers' demands on health care reform -- while he brayed about having stood up to "special interests" -- was downright theatrical in its irony. If it weren't so bloody tragic I'd have sworn he was playing it for laughs.
But there is a coldly factual argument to be made for Obama's having at least gained something. I'm not saying I buy this as rationale for his Jello-like stance on health care policy. But I also have trouble with the notion that he has brought no incremental progress. A year ago, don't forget, we had you-know-who in the White House. Moreover, we can pretty well imagine how many minutes the mere phrase "health care reform" would have survived in a McCain/Palin administration.
So it seems fair to try to do a little ciphering regarding Obama's performance to date on health care. Say, an equation: Gains minus Losses plus Mitigating Factors equals Results, or G - L + M = R. Mind you, I had to take algebra twice. But here goes. I'll look only at the major elements.
GAINS:
- Prohibition of insurance discrimination by pre-existing conditions. If this actually happens as promised (a big "if"), it's big stuff. Millions will be freed from perhaps the most draconian health insurance scheme ever. It will mean coverage and potential choices for many who are now trapped by their present insurers.
- Coverage of more uninsured people. Again, this gain could yet evaporate into hot air. And, at best, it will fall far short of solving the uninsured problem. But if it survives in some form, it's something, yes?
- The actual uttering of the phrases "public insurance option" and "single-payer" by an American president in our lifetime.
LOSSES:
- Lost leverage on all issues of health reform due to Obama's negotiating away so much of his power at the outset in the delusion of "bipartisanship." Any card player knows that you don't put everything on the table at once. You hold some cards and you play your hand, a card at a time, to your best advantage. Obama had a decent hand to start, with proposals that remained popular in the polls even after the town meeting loony fests. He squandered it by letting his opponents know that he was willing to give up just about anything.
- The death of a public option, the centerpiece of any meaningful health care reform. A government program has by far the most leverage to bring down prices and streamline administrative costs. Without it, the hope of significantly cutting costs and reining in the insurance monarchy is nil.
- The squelching of the reimportation proposal (bringing in American-made drugs from other countries where they are priced much more cheaply), which Obama campaigned for as a candidate but turned diametrically against once he took office and faced pressure from the pharmaceutical industry and its elected representatives.
MITIGATING FACTORS:
- A rabidly obstructionist Republican Party whose vocabulary consists mainly of "no," and whose flacks savagely beat the bushes to keep the GOP base in a wild-eyed panic and other voters flummoxed and intimidated.
- A spineless Democratic Party that cannot hold its unity on core issues even when it holds a majority.
- A voting population that has largely forgotten what it means to stand and protest for a shared cause.
'Course, we can't quantitatively weigh which of these factors matter most; it's still a judgment call. And let's not forget that a "loss" of potential progress is still not an objective loss when compared with the status quo. My own subjective calculation is that we'll be lucky if we see controls on pre-existing conditions that are not riddled with loopholes; we've lost huge opportunities that were within our grasp but for our leaders' lack of fortitude and our lack of outrage; and the real obstacles Obama has faced are abetted by his weakness of character.
Or, to put it another way: G = about a yard's progress; L = about a mile of ground we ought to have been able to gain given public opinion and the facts of health care; M = barriers that could have slowed but not stopped a leader who wasn't scared of the opposition's shadow; and R = a dropped glass and spilled possibility.